Part of: Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
This prediction market asks whether GameStop will officially announce an acquisition or merger involving eBay or eBay Inc. by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $84,555 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals, with recent alerts showing profitable traders buying or favoring No against the rumor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,102.
Categories: Acquisitions, Finance
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader fading rumor
A highly active profitable trader put $15.4k on No as this market saw a 471x volume spike and moved sharply toward No.
- This bettor is up about $529k lifetime across 1,161 resolved markets.
- The market saw a 471x volume spike, while the Yes price fell 7 points in a day.
- They bought $15.4k of No at 84¢, betting the GameStop-eBay acquisition remains unlikely.
$15,364 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial trader buys NO
A profitable, highly active cross-market trader put $69K on No during a major volume spike, with the price already moving in their favor.
- This experienced bettor is up $529K across more than 1,100 resolved bets.
- They bought $69K of No at 82–84¢, and the price has already moved to 86¢.
- The market saw a 223x volume spike, suggesting a broader repricing toward No.
$69,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Sharp cross-market No cluster
Three wallets bought nearly $14k of No amid a major volume spike, including serial cross-market traders with very large histories and high win rates.
- Three wallets put $13.9k on No, all in the same direction during a 38x volume spike.
- One bettor wins 86% of resolved bets across 1,084 markets and has traded over $11.7M lifetime.
- Another wallet wins 78% of resolved bets, adding support to the coordinated No position.
$13,885 on No
Profitable serial event trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable track record is effectively buying Yes on the GameStop-eBay acquisition market.
- This bettor has a long record: 905 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $406k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 46 events, suggesting this is part of a broader event-driven strategy.
- Selling No at 78¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 22¢, matching the current market price.
$7,662 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x15f2...8669 — Yes, $66,103
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — No, $55,367 (56% win rate)
- 0x82a9...c9a1 — No, $52,009
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $47,923 (47% win rate)
- 0x8df7...36c4 — No, $33,333 (72% win rate)
- 0x5bff...ffbe — No, $24,173 (47% win rate)
- 0xa1f7...fbf1 — Yes, $15,430
- 0x3519...106a — Yes, $13,069
- 0x8593...7314 — Yes, $12,709
- 0x095d...52cf — No, $12,521
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