Part of: Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,007.
Categories: Iran, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20, Lebanon, Geopolitics, Israel, Politics, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
Profitable serial geopolitics bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on a geopolitics market with a strong long-term record and the market already moving against Yes.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up $323,675 lifetime.
- They have traded across 31 related events with $629,410 in cross-market activity, suggesting a repeat research-driven strategy.
- Bought No at 26¢ while Yes has fallen 16 points this week, aligning with recent market momentum.
$1,007 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 85587445, $6,258 (72% win rate)
- 0xba69...6a43 — Outcome 85587445, $2,940
- 0x502f...d624 — Outcome 85587445, $2,276
- 0x9906...c0ae — Outcome 85587445, $2,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x66d0...ea60 — Outcome 85587445, $1,899
- 0x6c64...ac0b — Outcome 85587445, $1,500
- 0x0313...67db — Outcome 85587445, $1,441
- 0x9636...546a — Outcome 85587445, $1,318
- 0x20ee...f8fa — Outcome 85587445, $1,078 (68% win rate)
- 0x4c43...f964 — Outcome 85587445, $1,077
Related Theses
No Iran deal by June
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Iran deal by mid-June
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Hormuz blockade stays in place
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Iran closes airspace imminently
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No US-Iran talks soon
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Iran ceasefire will collapse
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US will strike Cuba
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Israel closes airspace soon
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No Iran nuclear deal
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Trump declares Iran ceasefire over
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