Part of: US-Iran deal text released by...?
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,484.
Categories: Geopolitics, Peace Deal, U.S. x Iran, Iran, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 72¢ ahead of a sharp move to 97¢ on a plausible diplomacy information market.
- This bettor has won 70% of 990 resolved trades and is up about $50.9K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 72¢ before the market jumped to 97¢, catching a major move.
- This is a politics/diplomacy market where fast information can matter, but the trade is no longer attractive above the original edge zone.
$2,177 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
88% serial cross-market winner
Highly proven cross-market trader with 88% wins and $339k profit is buying Yes as the market moves sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 88% of 565 resolved trades and is up $339,006 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable edge in related markets.
- Yes is already up 21.5 points today, and this buy at 59¢ follows strong market momentum.
$2,409 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable bettor flips to YES
Profitable 79% winner flipped from a prior No position into Yes as the market jumped sharply near deadline.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $66.5K lifetime.
- They closed a No position and bought Yes at 40¢, signaling a clear change in view.
- Yes moved up 32.5 percentage points in about 4 minutes, with the trade entering before the current 46¢ price.
$1,496 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
94% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on the US-Iran agreement text release market.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $39K lifetime.
- They are buying No at 66¢, against a market that has moved 10 points toward Yes in the past day.
- The wallet has also positioned across related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.
$3,433 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
87% winner buying No
A proven wallet with an 87% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No at 73¢ while also positioning across the same US-Iran event.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $3,479 lifetime.
- They bought No at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ in their favor.
- The wallet is also active across 2 related US-Iran markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,241 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
94% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on the US-Iran agreement text release market.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $39K lifetime.
- They are buying No at 66¢, against a market that has moved 10 points toward Yes in the past day.
- The wallet has also positioned across related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,276 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable new event bettor
A 4-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is buying Yes on a fast-moving diplomacy market with corroborating price momentum.
- This 4-day-old wallet is already up $7.6K and has placed $26K across repeated flagged bets.
- The market jumped sharply toward Yes, with a 32-point move in about 4 minutes.
- This is a time-sensitive diplomatic-release market, where faster information can matter.
$2,040 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable trader flips Yes
Profitable serial cross-market trader with $1.19M lifetime P&L has flipped from a prior No position to buying Yes ahead of a fast-moving political deadline market.
- This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
- They previously closed a No position here and are now buying Yes at 60¢.
- The market has moved up 25.5 points in the last day, matching the direction of this trade.
$2,981 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
88% serial cross-market winner
Highly proven cross-market trader with 88% wins and $339k profit is buying Yes as the market moves sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 88% of 565 resolved trades and is up $339,006 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable edge in related markets.
- Yes is already up 21.5 points today, and this buy at 59¢ follows strong market momentum.
$2,275 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable new event bettor
A 4-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is buying Yes on a fast-moving diplomacy market with corroborating price momentum.
- This 4-day-old wallet is already up $7.6K and has placed $26K across repeated flagged bets.
- The market jumped sharply toward Yes, with a 32-point move in about 4 minutes.
- This is a time-sensitive diplomatic-release market, where faster information can matter.
$2,743 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x62cf...5826 — Outcome 11007230, $39,421 (66% win rate)
- 0x34ab...3eb5 — Outcome 11007230, $26,117 (36% win rate)
- 0x371e...0f81 — Outcome 11007230, $15,000
- 0x4f9c...dd8b — Outcome 11007230, $15,000
- 0x5f07...09b4 — Outcome 11007230, $14,000
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 11007230, $12,846 (57% win rate)
- 0x5935...9c0e — Outcome 11007230, $10,000
- 0x1637...69fc — Outcome 11007230, $8,320
- 0x757a...842b — Outcome 11007230, $7,487
- 0x5647...de1d — Outcome 11007230, $5,000
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