US-Iran deal text released by...?
3 signals across 2 markets · $11,108 tracked · resolves Jul 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether any portion of the written US-Iran diplomatic agreement announced on June 14, 2026 becomes publicly available by the market deadline. Traders are pricing the likelihood of a text release by June 16, with PolySpotter monitoring $4,454 in smart money activity, including a signal from a 97% serial cross-market winner.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 97% serial cross-market winner
A highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 97% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $4.5k of No near current market odds.
$4,454Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.0 - 88% winner flips Yes
Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% win rate flipped into Yes ahead of a fast-moving diplomatic-news market.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.0 - New wallet backs No
A brand-new wallet placed a nearly $5k No bet on a near-deadline diplomatic disclosure market, making a sizable conviction trade despite having no track record.
$4,974Score: 3.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x757a11…842b$4,974 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x46992d…e03c$4,454 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$1,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the odds the US-Iran deal text is released by June 16?
The event’s odds reflect Polymarket traders’ real-time view on whether any part of the June 14 US-Iran agreement text becomes widely public before the June 16 deadline.
What does this US-Iran prediction market resolve on?
It resolves “Yes” if any portion of the agreement text announced by the US and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, it resolves “No.”
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter is tracking $4,454 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal from a trader labeled as a 97% serial cross-market winner.
When does the US-Iran deal text market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2026, though the key outcome depends on whether the agreement text is publicly released by the June 16 deadline.