Part of: Iran successfully targets shipping by...?
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,283.
Categories: seize, strike, Iran, U.S. x Iran, Iran Ceasefire, ship
Notable Trades
96% winner fading spike
A proven 96% winning wallet is fading a sharp Yes spike by selling Yes, which converts to buying No at 31¢.
- This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $2.9K lifetime.
- They sold Yes after a rapid 30-point move in under 2 minutes, effectively backing No at 31¢.
- The market is highly active today, with $110K traded in 24 hours and Yes up nearly 60 points.
$1,283 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable sharp buying breakout
A proven profitable wallet bought Yes into a major breakout on a geopolitics market with strong recent momentum and thin liquidity.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $48.6K lifetime.
- Yes has surged about 66 points in the past day, including a 30-point jump in under 2 minutes.
- The $1K buy at 81¢ is meaningful against only $4.7K of liquidity, suggesting confident positioning.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xc4b2...9a9b — Outcome 10980135, $5,731 (85% win rate)
- 0xb476...6eac — Outcome 10980135, $5,302 (65% win rate)
- 0x4d70...2698 — Outcome 10980135, $2,657 (62% win rate)
- 0x218f...367e — Outcome 10980135, $2,512
- 0x35e3...9188 — Outcome 10980135, $1,483 (72% win rate)
- 0x64a9...7311 — Outcome 10980135, $1,407
- 0x4178...fbcb — Outcome 10980135, $1,000
- 0x619d...b31c — Outcome 10980135, $1,000
- 0x7ae8...5a42 — Outcome 10980135, $800
- 0x8c0b...f0fb — Outcome 10980135, $750 (81% win rate)
Related Theses
Starmer exits by June 2026
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Iran surrenders in June
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US-Iran talks get extended
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No Ukraine ceasefire by August
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Iran closure mid-July only
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Hormuz traffic stays disrupted
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Iran nuclear deal fails
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No US-Iran meeting by July
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Hormuz disruptions persist past September
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