Part of: Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,112.
Categories: Politics, Cuba, Trump, Geopolitics, Diaz-Canel
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 1,215-bet history is buying No at 89¢ on a niche geopolitical market.
- This bettor has won about 75% of 1,215 resolved bets and is up $171K lifetime.
- They have traded across 103 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The $1.8K No buy is meaningful versus the market’s $5.7K daily volume.
$1,770 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved-bet history is adding to the favored No side, though the individual bet size is modest.
- This bettor is up $143,659 across 922 resolved bets, with a 68% hit rate.
- They have traded across 34 events and 53 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying No at 86¢ is a favorite-side bet on Raul Castro not entering U.S. custody by the deadline.
$1,238 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
90% winner buys longshot Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate is effectively buying Yes on a longshot Raul Castro custody market at 12¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up nearly $299K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 12¢, taking the contrarian side in an 11% market.
- The trade is modest but meaningful in a market with only about $10K of 24h volume.
$2,993 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
90% win serial bettor
Surface because this is a proven serial cross-market bettor with a 90% resolved-bet win rate making a $5.4k contrarian No buy on a geopolitical market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $58k lifetime.
- They have traded 119 events with over $3.3M deployed, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- They bought $5.4k of No at 78¢ while the market moved toward Yes, suggesting a contrarian view.
$5,379 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable new wallet buying YES
A 10-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits bought $3.7k of Yes on a geopolitical custody market, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited track record.
- This 10-day-old wallet has already made $3.1k profit on 2 resolved bets.
- It is a repeat large bettor, with $6.5k flagged across 2 positions so far.
- The $3.7k buy at 25¢ implies a high-conviction view on a long-shot outcome.
$3,731 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xaf34...0c4d — Outcome 10881835, $34,063 (100% win rate)
- 0x10f4...7728 — Outcome 10881835, $18,200 (100% win rate)
- 0xd10f...f12f — Outcome 10881835, $6,353 (31% win rate)
- 0x71e1...45f0 — Outcome 10881835, $5,349 (59% win rate)
- 0x54d1...13f4 — Outcome 10881835, $4,849 (80% win rate)
- 0x8a98...1b92 — Outcome 10881835, $3,992 (54% win rate)
- 0x5ad2...c3da — Outcome 10881835, $3,555
- 0x0b5b...dca3 — Outcome 10881835, $3,259
- 0x0a22...69ba — Outcome 10881835, $3,072
- 0xff4e...5502 — Outcome 10881835, $3,000
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I'm sorry, but I cannot assist with that request.
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