Part of: Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,306.
Categories: Oil, Naval, Geopolitics, Hormuz, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, US-Iran
Notable Trades
Serial trader scales into No
A serial cross-market trader with 650 resolved bets and an 80% win rate added $3,306 to an existing No position in a thin market, making this a meaningful conviction signal despite limited edge versus average win prices.
- This bettor has won 80% of 650 resolved bets across 42 events and 56 markets.
- They added $3,306 to an existing No position, with the trade exceeding the market’s flagged $879 24-hour volume.
- The position was built around 79¢, implying confidence that No remains highly likely through July 2026.
$3,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xec4d...be21 — Outcome 11571055, $1,707
- 0x4d5a...02ea — Outcome 11571055, $1,031
- 0x9afc...314b — Outcome 11571055, $707
- 0x778b...4e2d — Outcome 11571055, $664 (44% win rate)
- 0x8b72...6dbe — Outcome 11571055, $401 (50% win rate)
- 0xe32b...626e — Outcome 11571055, $381
- 0xc602...7fc1 — Outcome 11571055, $348 (43% win rate)
- 0xb1a2...57fe — Outcome 11571055, $330
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 11571055, $303 (73% win rate)
- 0x770e...7640 — Outcome 11571055, $300 (25% win rate)
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