Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,145.
Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision
Notable Trades
85% winner buying NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate bought $9.1k of No on Australia winning Eurovision 2026.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
- They have traded 156 markets across 104 events, suggesting a broad repeatable edge.
- The $9.1k buy pushed No up 15 percentage points, showing meaningful conviction.
$9,098 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
New repeat whale buying YES
A brand-new repeat whale put $24.6k into the equivalent of Australia Yes, alongside a major volume spike and strong weekly momentum, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet has now been flagged 11 times, with about $54k in large bets.
- This trade put $24.6k toward Australia Yes and came during an 11x volume spike.
- Australia’s odds are up 20 points this week, suggesting this bettor is joining strong momentum.
$24,581 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable Eurovision thesis
Profitable wallet with a 74% resolved-bet record is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis, buying Australia Yes at 23¢ amid strong weekly momentum.
- This bettor has won 74% of resolved trades and is up $56.5K lifetime.
- They have $12.7K positioned across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Australia has already moved up about 18% this week, and this entry at 23¢ still offers large upside if their view is right.
$1,413 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp bettor fading rally
A profitable 77% win-rate wallet is buying No on Australia after a sharp rally, making the bettor’s track record the main signal despite modest size.
- This bettor has won 77% of resolved bets and is up $2.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 70¢ after Australia’s price rose sharply this week.
- The wallet has beaten average implied odds by 22 percentage points across 22 resolved bets.
$1,690 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable sharp fading momentum
A profitable 77% winner is buying No on Australia despite strong recent Yes momentum, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $2.9K lifetime.
- They are buying No after Australia’s Yes odds jumped 24 points this week.
- Entry at 70¢ suggests a lower-risk fade of a crowded Eurovision move.
$1,327 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor fading Australia
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% record is fading Australia after a big Eurovision price run-up and has broader cross-market Eurovision positioning.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime.
- They are betting against Australia after its odds jumped 24 points this week.
- The wallet has $30K spread across 5 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,148 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor fading Australia
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is fading Australia after a major Eurovision price run-up, alongside broader cross-market Eurovision positioning.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime.
- They have $30K spread across 5 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off trade.
- Selling Australia at 28¢ is effectively backing No at 72¢ after Australia rose 22.5 points this week.
$1,226 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor fading rally
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is fading Australia after a major Eurovision price rally and has broader cross-market Eurovision positioning.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $46.8k lifetime.
- They are selling Australia after Yes jumped 21 points this week, effectively backing No at 74¢.
- The wallet has placed $30.9k across 5 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,943 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
86% win-rate sharp buyer
A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 86% long-term win rate bought Australia Yes amid strong recent upward price momentum.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They have a huge cross-market track record: 357 markets across 274 events.
- Australia has moved sharply higher, up 22 points this week, and this wallet bought Yes at 27¢.
$1,442 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Fresh Eurovision whale
A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets is adding to a Eurovision thesis amid strong Australia price momentum.
- This brand-new wallet has already placed about $30k in flagged large bets in under 2 days.
- It has $20.7k spread across 2 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- Australia has strong momentum, up 9 points today and 20 points this week, and this buy came at 26¢.
$5,301 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 79554291, $1,961,728
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Outcome 78303740, $372,746 (69% win rate)
- 0xc335...9fae — Outcome 78303740, $106,937
- 0x0462...cdde — Outcome 78303740, $83,096 (55% win rate)
- 0x45b0...4857 — Outcome 78303740, $79,299 (63% win rate)
- 0xc917...c359 — Outcome 78303740, $79,179 (100% win rate)
- 0x94c4...43ca — Outcome 78303740, $66,953 (80% win rate)
- 0xdeac...0216 — Outcome 78303740, $55,482
- 0xad26...7310 — Outcome 78303740, $51,511
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 78303740, $50,000 (83% win rate)
Related Theses
Starmer exits after May 19
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Iran deal arrives mid-June
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Eurovision winner among five countries
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Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls
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