Part of: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,844.
Categories: Trump, Hormuz, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, Oil, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader buys NO
Profitable high-volume serial trader placed a meaningful contrarian No bet on a data-driven shipping market, with the trade exceeding flagged 24h volume.
- This trader is up about $770k across 220 resolved markets.
- They put $6.8k on No, more than the market’s flagged 24h volume at the time.
- Entry at 18¢ is a contrarian bet against the current 84% Yes consensus.
$6,844 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 11438188, $71,638 (57% win rate)
- 0x0845...6b6f — Outcome 11438188, $12,227 (70% win rate)
- 0x21f7...e19f — Outcome 11438188, $11,086 (52% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 11438188, $7,192
- 0xaa99...dbbf — Outcome 11438188, $3,500 (62% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 11438188, $3,500
- 0x78ec...72ce — Outcome 11438188, $3,000
- 0xe234...304a — Outcome 11438188, $1,594 (66% win rate)
- 0x71ab...f015 — Outcome 11438188, $1,519 (63% win rate)
- 0xd324...b23c — Outcome 11438188, $1,425 (43% win rate)
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Iran deal after July
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