Part of: Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,690.

Categories: Oil, Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Politics, Geopolitics, Saudi Arabia

Notable Trades

High-volume bettor adds to Yes

A highly active, historically profitable bettor added $2,954 to Yes at 72¢ while the market surged, though the wallet’s 86% win rate is tempered by high average win prices and modest lifetime returns relative to volume.

A bettor with 1,549 resolved positions and a positive $99,736 lifetime P&L added $2,954 to Yes at 72¢.
The position adds to an existing Yes holding, and the market has risen 55 percentage points in a day.
Two wallets linked by a shared funder bet a combined $2,954 on this market.

$2,954 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable bettor adding to No

A consistently profitable bettor with 111 resolved trades is adding roughly $4,149 to an existing No position and has also positioned across three related markets.

This bettor is up $37,302 across 111 resolved trades, with an 80% win rate.
They added about $4,149 to an existing No position and have bets across three related markets.
The new No trades were entered around 68¢, near the current market price.

$4,149 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 128-market record added to an existing large Yes position, while serial cross-market activity reinforces the trade.

This bettor has won 74% of 128 resolved bets and is up nearly $200,000.
They added Yes at 33¢ to an existing $24,688 position, showing continued conviction.
The wallet has traded across 59 events, and its activity spans three markets in this event.

$1,234 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven trader adding to No

A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial No position at 51¢, making this a credible directional signal.

This bettor has an 81% win rate across 106 resolved positions and is up $180,706.
They added $1,670 to an existing $15,463 No position, buying at 51¢ while No was trading around 54¢.

$2,008 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven trader adding to No

A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial No position at 51¢, making this a credible directional signal.

This bettor has an 81% win rate across 106 resolved positions and is up $180,706.
They added $1,670 to an existing $15,463 No position, buying at 51¢ while No was trading around 54¢.

$2,698 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven bettor adding to No

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate is adding to a No position and has a strong record across many markets.

This bettor has won 218 of 270 resolved bets and is up $98,427.
They added $1,650 to No at 66¢, on top of an existing $2,500 position.
They have traded across 36 markets in 31 events, with an 81% win rate.

$1,650 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor adding to Yes

A proven bettor with a 78% record and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position at 46¢.

This bettor has won 35 of 45 resolved positions and is up $19,724.
They are adding $1,000 to an existing Yes position at 46¢, below their 51¢ average entry.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Proven trader adding to No

A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial No position at 51¢, making this a credible directional signal.

This bettor has an 81% win rate across 106 resolved positions and is up $180,706.
They added $1,670 to an existing $15,463 No position, buying at 51¢ while No was trading around 54¢.

$1,670 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp bettor adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate is adding to an existing No position despite the market being near 50-50.

This bettor has won 81% of 106 resolved trades and is up $180,706 lifetime.
They added $1,327 to an existing No position, raising their investment to over $13,500.
The No side was bought around 50¢ while the market remains nearly evenly priced, implying meaningful conviction.

$1,327 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%