Part of: Who will Trump speak to in June?

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,631.

Categories: Trump, Geopolitics, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No before a major volume spike and the position has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 448 resolved markets and is up $244k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 190 related markets with $8.8M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable event-driven approach.
  • They bought No at 49¢ before the market moved to 61¢, alongside a 228x volume spike.

$2,007 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable whale flips Yes

A highly profitable whale flipped into a $19.2k Yes position amid a 564x volume spike and a sharp move higher.

  • This wallet is up $1.27M lifetime and just bought $19.2k of Yes.
  • The market saw a 564x volume spike and Yes jumped about 18 percentage points during the buying.
  • The bettor had previously closed a No position, so this looks like a fresh flip toward Yes rather than profit-taking.

$19,209 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Proven winner buying NO

Sharp wallet override: a profitable 78% winner bought No despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $20.8K lifetime.
  • They bought $1.1K of No at 70¢ as the market has moved sharply toward No.
  • Yes is down 54 points over the week, and this trade follows that momentum.

$2,557 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven winner buying NO

Sharp wallet override: a profitable 78% winner bought No despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $20.8K lifetime.
  • They bought $1.1K of No at 70¢ as the market has moved sharply toward No.
  • Yes is down 54 points over the week, and this trade follows that momentum.

$1,086 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable contrarian buyer

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Yes position after a major price collapse, with linked-wallet activity adding some corroboration.

  • This bettor is up about $1.18M lifetime across 1,369 resolved bets.
  • They bought Yes at 25¢ after the market had fallen sharply from its prior 55–71¢ range.
  • A linked-wallet cluster has put about $46.6K into related activity, adding conviction beyond one wallet.

$1,161 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

90% winner flips Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 90% winner bought Yes in a thin political market despite only a modest low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $37k lifetime across 1,725 markets.
  • The $2.6k Yes buy was larger than the market’s reported 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin book.
  • They previously held a small No position but have closed it and moved to Yes.

$2,611 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c53...8c30 Outcome 77880220, $10,000
  2. 0x5533...51ba Outcome 77880220, $1,332
  3. 0x9010...d06f Outcome 77880220, $1,300
  4. 0x3ecc...1d30 Outcome 77880220, $1,043
  5. 0x4a2b...af20 Outcome 77880220, $1,000 (49% win rate)
  6. 0xb557...ef84 Outcome 77880220, $900
  7. 0x9cdd...3e97 Outcome 77880220, $897 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x07d8...294a Outcome 77880220, $678 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x8b72...6dbe Outcome 77880220, $552 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xb986...4b60 Outcome 77880220, $549

Related Theses

Fed holds rates steady

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Iran closes airspace late June

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Iran deal likely soon

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US-Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

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Trump lifts Hormuz blockade

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Iran talks happen after April

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Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

ResolvedWho will Trump speak to in June?$28,631 tracked6 signalsTrumpGeopoliticsPolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Notable Trades

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

16d ago

$2,007 on No at 49¢

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

16d ago

$19,209 on Yes at 59¢

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

22d ago

$2,557 on No at 70¢

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

31d ago

$1,086 on No at 70¢

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

32d ago

$1,161 on Yes at 25¢

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

35d ago

$2,611 on Yes at 71¢

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