Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,574.
Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit
Notable Trades
91% winner buying Yes
Sharp-wallet override: a 91% winner with positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes at 15¢ despite only a weak price-impact signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $1.9k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 15¢ after a sharp move in this market.
- Entry at 15¢ implies a low-cost bet that Trump mentions AI during the Xi events.
$2,462 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought $4.6k of No at 85¢ as the market moved sharply toward No.
- This bettor is up $766k lifetime across 830 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 80 events tracked and a 68% hit rate.
- No moved up 14.5 points in about 2 minutes, and this entry is already ahead at 88¢.
$4,574 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable cross-market bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 70% long-run win rate is expressing a cross-market thesis by buying No on this Trump-Xi wording market.
- This bettor has won 70% of 360 resolved bets and is up $269K lifetime.
- They have placed nearly $5K across 3 related Trump-Xi markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 48¢ gives near-even odds on No after Yes fell sharply over the last day.
$1,538 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xa2ae...961f — Yes, $11,000
- 0x8785...0cab — Yes, $4,619
- 0x0bd7...a265 — Yes, $4,556
- 0x6967...1986 — Yes, $2,499 (69% win rate)
- 0xaa64...cfcf — Yes, $2,000
- 0xdb41...8536 — Yes, $1,951
- 0x447e...2372 — Yes, $1,836
- 0x31a9...bbdf — Yes, $1,625
- 0x81aa...c075 — Yes, $1,546 (93% win rate)
- 0xea47...5728 — Yes, $1,500
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