Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,574.
Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit
Notable Trades
91% winner buying Yes
Sharp-wallet override: a 91% winner with positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes at 15¢ despite only a weak price-impact signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $1.9k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 15¢ after a sharp move in this market.
- Entry at 15¢ implies a low-cost bet that Trump mentions AI during the Xi events.
$2,462 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought $4.6k of No at 85¢ as the market moved sharply toward No.
- This bettor is up $766k lifetime across 830 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 80 events tracked and a 68% hit rate.
- No moved up 14.5 points in about 2 minutes, and this entry is already ahead at 88¢.
$4,574 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable cross-market bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 70% long-run win rate is expressing a cross-market thesis by buying No on this Trump-Xi wording market.
- This bettor has won 70% of 360 resolved bets and is up $269K lifetime.
- They have placed nearly $5K across 3 related Trump-Xi markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 48¢ gives near-even odds on No after Yes fell sharply over the last day.
$1,538 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xa2ae...961f — Outcome 62614530, $11,000
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — Outcome 62614530, $6,597 (37% win rate)
- 0x34ab...3eb5 — Outcome 62614530, $6,000 (32% win rate)
- 0x8785...0cab — Outcome 62614530, $4,619
- 0x0bd7...a265 — Outcome 62614530, $4,556
- 0x880d...adb6 — Outcome 62614530, $3,499 (90% win rate)
- 0xc6fd...53df — Outcome 62614530, $2,656
- 0x6967...1986 — Outcome 62614530, $2,499 (49% win rate)
- 0xaa64...cfcf — Outcome 62614530, $2,000
- 0xdb41...8536 — Outcome 62614530, $1,951
Related Theses
US-Iran peace deal soon
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Iran keeps airspace open
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