Part of: Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Delcy Rodríguez will officially hold the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. It resolves based on official Venezuelan government confirmation of who is head of state, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,557 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,775.
Categories: Trump-Machado, Venezuela, Trump, Politics, Geopolitics, maduro, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial politics trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No at 87¢ after a major breakout in the No price on a politically meaningful Venezuela leadership market.
- This bettor is up $368k lifetime across nearly 2,500 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 30 events and 41 related markets.
- No has broken sharply above its prior 35–50¢ range, and this trade added to that momentum at 87¢.
$1,557 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable serial political trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is taking a meaningful Yes position in a niche political market at 20¢.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up $112K lifetime.
- They have traded across 206 events with about $805K in cross-market activity.
- The $1.2K Yes buy was over half of recent volume, showing conviction in a quieter market.
$1,218 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $288,222
- 0x2005...e414 — Yes, $51,289
- 0x54a5...ee3d — Yes, $21,592 (31% win rate)
- 0x7795...9a17 — Yes, $20,684 (31% win rate)
- 0xc021...1fa8 — Yes, $17,755 (54% win rate)
- 0x7ea7...79ac — Yes, $17,275 (73% win rate)
- 0x9d84...1344 — Yes, $12,734 (42% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Yes, $11,710 (69% win rate)
- 0x011f...1122 — Yes, $10,467 (39% win rate)
- 0x0509...6e98 — No, $9,659
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