Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,846.

Categories: Iran, Kushner, Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, Khamenei, Witkoff, Iran Ceasefire

Notable Trades

Linked sharp wallet cluster

A 6-wallet linked cluster is buying the same side, and this wallet also has an unusually strong 86% hit rate across 22 resolved markets.

  • This wallet wins 86% of its bets and is up $2.3k on 22 resolved markets
  • Six wallets funded by the same source are tied to this activity, showing coordinated conviction
  • They bought Yes at 85¢ in a market trading 83–86¢, backing a high-probability outcome

$2,846 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7432...c16a Outcome 36187267, $27,530
  2. 0x4fc1...8360 Outcome 36187267, $12,000 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x3dee...65d5 Outcome 36187267, $6,000
  4. 0x9b76...6984 Outcome 36187267, $2,700
  5. 0x2f33...effc Outcome 36187267, $2,039
  6. 0x8bf1...6cda Outcome 36187267, $2,009
  7. 0x1c13...ce0e Outcome 36187267, $2,000
  8. 0x06e9...6f8f Outcome 36187267, $1,594
  9. 0x6a3c...2db9 Outcome 36187267, $1,494
  10. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 36187267, $1,395 (70% win rate)

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

ResolvedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?$2,846 tracked1 signalIranKushnerGeopoliticsPoliticsTrumpKhameneiWitkoffIran Ceasefire

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

45d ago

$2,846 on Yes at 85¢