US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
7 signals across 4 markets · $47,175 tracked · resolves Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp 3-wallet NO cluster
Three wallets, including one with an 88% win rate, coordinated into the bearish side of a geopolitics market just as price snapped sharply lower, suggesting informed conviction worth watching.
$5,113Score: 15.6 - Linked sharp wallet cluster
A 6-wallet linked cluster is buying the same side, and this wallet also has an unusually strong 86% hit rate across 22 resolved markets.
$2,846Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.6 - 75% win-rate event specialist
A proven high-volume trader with a 75% win rate across 291 resolved markets is adding a sizable position in a geopolitics event after tracking 56 related events, making this a credible thesis worth following despite the rich price.
$2,737Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 7.0 - 80% win-rate geopolitical trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate bought into the bullish side of a geopolitically meaningful market during a major volume spike.
$28,613Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.4 - 83% win-rate event trader
A proven 83% win-rate trader with over $1.0M deployed across 50 related markets bought into a major volume breakout in a geopolitically news-driven market.
$4,965Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.4 - 95% hit-rate geopolitics bettor
A very high-hit-rate wallet with nearly 1,000 resolved bets is adding a cross-market geopolitical position despite weak standalone trade size, making this worth watching mainly for the trader’s track record.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Thin-market contrarian sharp
A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate made a market-dominating $1.4k buy on No in an extremely thin US-Iran meeting market, taking a sharply contrarian view versus current pricing.
$1,402Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3c4c03…dd95$28,613 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xa9e64c…1dc2$4,965 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x90e326…0c77$2,846 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$2,737 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xe61786…f251$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xff0c0d…36ee$1,402 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins