US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,846.

Categories: Iran, Kushner, Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, Khamenei, Witkoff, Iran Ceasefire

Notable Trades

Linked sharp wallet cluster

A 6-wallet linked cluster is buying the same side, and this wallet also has an unusually strong 86% hit rate across 22 resolved markets.

  • This wallet wins 86% of its bets and is up $2.3k on 22 resolved markets
  • Six wallets funded by the same source are tied to this activity, showing coordinated conviction
  • They bought Yes at 85¢ in a market trading 83–86¢, backing a high-probability outcome

$2,846 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x26b9...5626 Yes, $13,061 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x90e3...0c77 Yes, $3,395 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x053d...caed Yes, $3,193 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x95ef...ff92 No, $3,108
  5. 0x2779...239a No, $2,962 (60% win rate)
  6. 0xec75...c0ef No, $2,610
  7. 0xfb6a...7caf Yes, $2,398
  8. 0xfd8f...6f11 Yes, $2,318
  9. 0x993c...6787 No, $2,224
  10. 0x682e...70bd Yes, $2,001

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

Resolved$2,846 tracked1 signalIranKushnerGeopoliticsPoliticsTrumpKhameneiWitkoffIran Ceasefire
Yes
89¢
No
11¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
97¢
92¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

6h ago

$2,846 on Yes at 85¢

85¢89¢4¢
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | PolySpotter