This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $54K lifetime. They bought No at 85¢ in a quiet market, nearly 80% of the past day’s volume. The market has already moved toward them, with No now around 94¢.

Part of: Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,287.

Categories: Global Elections, World, Politics, Elections, Colombia Election, Colombia

Notable Trades

91% winner buying No

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, and their No entry has already moved from 85¢ to 94¢.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $54K lifetime.
They bought No at 85¢ in a quiet market, nearly 80% of the past day’s volume.
The market has already moved toward them, with No now around 94¢.

$1,357 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp political bettor

A proven profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate bought a large No position in a quiet Colombia election market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $44K lifetime.
The $1.9K buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
They bought No at 85¢, and the market has already moved to about 94¢.

$1,930 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0x8718...d6dd — Outcome 11200099, $49,351
0xdbd0...2e83 — Outcome 11200099, $40,388
0xcb25...5ab5 — Outcome 11200099, $29,345 (50% win rate)
0xe3bb...ba01 — Outcome 11200099, $5,300
0x7f5e...573e — Outcome 11200099, $4,419
0xbdb1...abf9 — Outcome 11200099, $2,527
0xc333...543e — Outcome 11200099, $2,346
0xb076...7652 — Outcome 11200099, $1,947
0x38b3...9fdf — Outcome 11200099, $1,782
0x225f...7b7f — Outcome 11200099, $1,747

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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

ResolvedWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$3,287 tracked2 signalsGlobal ElectionsWorldPoliticsElectionsColombia ElectionColombia

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).