Part of: Next Israeli government formed by...?

Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether a new Israeli government, formed after the 2026 Knesset election or a later election, will be officially sworn in by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The supplied market metadata does not include current odds; the market resolves Yes only if the qualifying government is sworn in before the Knesset by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,646.

Categories: World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Israel Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% record is adding to a sizable No position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 77 resolved bets and is up $90,746.
  • They added $1,646 to an existing No position at 85¢ in a relatively thin market.
  • Their activity spans 31 events and 41 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.

$1,646 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

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Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

Next Israeli government formed by...?$1,646 tracked1 signalWorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionIsrael ElectionGlobal Elections
Yes
5¢
No
95¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No”
99¢
86¢
73¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

2026-10-28 15:19 UTC

$1,646 on No at 85¢

85¢→95¢↑10¢

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