Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,877.

Categories: Iran, Politics, Israel x Iran, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics, Middle East, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, strike

Notable Trades

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

A newly created wallet from a 19-wallet funded cluster sold the crowded Yes side at 80¢, suggesting coordinated conviction on No in a major geopolitics market.

  • 19 linked wallets share the same funder and this wallet sold Yes at 80¢, a coordinated bet on No
  • This wallet is only 19 days old and has already been flagged 3 times for large bets totaling $16.4k
  • Selling the 79-80¢ favorite implies they think the market is overpricing continued strikes through March 31

$5,387 on Yes

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

A 14-wallet funded cluster is building the same thesis in a major geopolitics market, and this new wallet just made a concentrated $5.5k buy despite already paying above current price.

  • 14 linked wallets share the same funder and have put in about $11k total on this thesis
  • This wallet is only 18 days old and made a $5.5k buy as one of just 2 positions
  • The bet is in a liquid geopolitics market, which makes coordinated buying more worth tracking than a random thin-market punt

$5,490 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 27040294, $64,887
  2. 0x1c3c...1b01 Outcome 27040294, $15,000 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xd426...334a Outcome 27040294, $3,154 (35% win rate)
  4. 0xaff3...6ecc Outcome 27040294, $2,414 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xee95...0625 Outcome 27040294, $2,366
  6. 0xd8c7...0e95 Outcome 27040294, $1,310
  7. 0x956d...fef1 Outcome 27040294, $643
  8. 0x6291...cc47 Outcome 27040294, $400
  9. 0x31c4...eb1b Outcome 27040294, $302
  10. 0x408f...f885 Outcome 11445283, $272

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Resolved$10,877 tracked2 signalsIranPoliticsIsrael x IranU.S. x IranGeopoliticsMiddle Eastrewards 100, 4.5, 100strike

Notable Trades

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

26d ago

$5,387 on Yes at 80¢

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

27d ago

$5,490 on Yes at 82¢

Related Theses