Part of: 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
29 smart money signals detected, totaling $206,666.
Categories: Politics, World, Elections, South Korea, Global Elections, World Elections, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
New wallet chasing breakout
A brand-new wallet with repeated large flagged bets helped chase a major Yes breakout alongside a large volume spike, though it has no resolved track record yet.
- A 2-hour-old wallet has already had about $19.5K in flagged large bets, suggesting aggressive early conviction.
- The market saw a 26x volume spike and Yes jumped more than 34 percentage points during the alert window.
- Yes is already up to 87%, so this is momentum-driven rather than a proven sharp-wallet copy trade.
$3,088 on Yes
New wallet in Yes cluster
A 6-day-old repeat bettor is joining a 4-wallet one-sided Yes push on a high-volume Seoul mayoral market with sharp recent upward momentum.
- Four wallets bought the same side, putting over $10k into Yes in the scan window.
- This 6-day-old wallet has now placed $3.2k across flagged bets, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- Yes has jumped 36 points in a day, with a fresh volume spike and rapid price move supporting the direction.
$1,092 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes amid a major Seoul mayoral volume/price surge, though the position is already underwater versus current odds.
- This bettor has traded across 90 events and is up about $50.9K lifetime over 865 resolved bets.
- The market is seeing a 12x volume surge and Yes is up 38 points over the past day.
- They bought Yes at 69¢, taking a pro-Oh Se-hoon position despite volatile price action.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
12-wallet one-sided surge
High-score political alert driven by a brand-new repeat bettor joining a 12-wallet one-sided Yes surge with major volume and price momentum.
- 12 wallets bought the same side, totaling $41K in Yes bets.
- This brand-new wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts in under 2 hours.
- Market volume spiked 31x and Yes moved from 63¢ to 77¢ after the flow.
$2,766 on Yes
12-wallet Yes surge
Strong one-sided coordinated flow: 12 wallets bought Yes into a major volume spike and 17-point price move on a political market.
- 12 wallets all bought the same side, putting $41K behind Yes in the scan window.
- The market saw a 31x volume spike and Yes jumped 17 points, suggesting momentum behind the move.
- This new wallet bought at 71¢, below the current 77¢ odds, and is already in profit.
$2,180 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
7-wallet linked Yes cluster
High-conviction coordinated Yes flow with 7 wallets, linked funding, a 29.6x volume spike, and sharp intraday price momentum on a plausible political information market.
- Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $36.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Volume surged 29.6x above normal while Yes jumped about 36 percentage points in a day.
- This bettor has a long record: 865 resolved trades, 57% winners, and about $50.9K lifetime profit.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
New whale coordinated NO flow
A 1-day-old repeat whale is part of coordinated NO buying on a high-volume Seoul mayoral market that has already moved sharply in their favor.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already had 21 large-bet flags totaling $77k across 6 positions.
- Three wallets bought the same NO side for $6.4k during a 27x volume spike.
- This wallet entered NO at 33¢ and the market has already moved to 48¢.
$1,704 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Brand-new repeat buyer
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly buying Oh Se-hoon Yes into a sharp Seoul mayoral odds move, though it has no resolved track record yet.
- This wallet was created less than an hour before trading and has already made 3 flagged bets totaling $4.3K.
- The market has moved hard toward Yes, up about 31 points over 24 hours.
- Their 70¢ entry is well above the current 52¢ price, so this is a conviction signal but not a proven sharp wallet.
$1,230 on Yes
Six-wallet Yes surge
Six wallets put $13.6k on Yes during a 32.5x volume spike, pushing the market up sharply despite mixed wallet track records.
- Six wallets all moved the same way, putting $13.6k behind Oh Se-hoon winning.
- The market saw a 32.5x volume spike and Yes jumped about 14 points in under 3 minutes.
- Several traders converted No positions into Yes exposure, suggesting a coordinated shift in view.
$13,575 on Yes
New repeat whale buying Yes
A 9-day-old repeat whale has put over $83k into flagged bets and bought $12k of Oh Se-hoon Yes during a major volume spike, though the position is already well underwater.
- A 9-day-old wallet has now made 18 large flagged bets totaling $83k.
- This trade came during a 75x volume spike, suggesting a rush of attention into the market.
- The bettor paid 64–71¢ for Yes, far above the current 39¢ price.
$12,017 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,068,517
- 0xb1a5...815d — No, $232,605
- 0xc7f9...e37d — No, $134,954 (86% win rate)
- 0x10e9...33f3 — No, $121,985 (85% win rate)
- 0xeae7...1884 — No, $28,017 (75% win rate)
- 0x7702...9791 — No, $23,347 (64% win rate)
- 0x9a1b...ee30 — No, $15,023
- 0xecaa...77a9 — No, $14,654 (73% win rate)
- 0x45e1...5934 — No, $12,667 (99% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — No, $11,981 (81% win rate)
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