Part of: Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,503.
Categories: Germany, Politics, Elections, Saxony-Anhalt, deprec German Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $2,503 bet on No at 90%, supported by an 82% win rate and repeated cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 82% of 393 resolved trades and earned $615,294 in profit.
- The $2,503 No bet represented 73% of the market’s recent trading volume, showing strong conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 33 events and 80 markets, suggesting an established repeatable strategy rather than a one-off wager.
$2,503 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 45781814, $24,998
- 0x6902...678c — Outcome 10005188, $7,913
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 10005188, $2,633
- 0xfb51...742d — Outcome 10005188, $2,138 (71% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 10005188, $2,112
- 0xf5e4...471a — Outcome 10005188, $1,519
- 0x2200...0f2d — Outcome 10005188, $1,356 (32% win rate)
- 0xb77e...c2c1 — Outcome 10005188, $1,207
- 0x4d86...1cb2 — Outcome 10005188, $910
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 10005188, $836 (62% win rate)
Related Theses
Argentina won't win World Cup
Covers 7 related markets
Bitcoin avoids crash, reaches $110K
Covers 12 related markets
Eurovision winner among five countries
Covers 5 related markets
Bitcoin will fall, then stabilize around $75K
Covers 6 related markets
AfD wins between 42% and 45%
Covers 3 related markets
At least one team blanks
Covers 1 related market
Favorites miss World Cup final
Covers 5 related markets
Fed holds rates steady
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin reaches $85,000 in September
Covers 1 related market
AfD will not win 34-37 seats
Covers 1 related market