When will this Polymarket resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

What does a Yes outcome mean?

Yes means Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.

What does a No outcome mean?

No means she does not win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.

Part of: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Q: What is the AOC 2028 nomination prediction market?

It is a prediction market on whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will win and accept the Democratic Party’s nomination for U.S. president in 2028.

Q: What happens if the Democratic nominee is replaced before Election Day?

A replacement of the Democratic nominee before Election Day will not change the market’s resolution.

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will win and accept the Democratic Party’s 2028 presidential nomination. The market resolves Yes or No using a consensus of official Democratic Party sources on November 7, 2028; a replacement nominee before Election Day will not change the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,960.

Categories: World Elections, Elections, Politics, US Election, Earn 4%, Primaries, United States

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader exits Yes

A highly profitable serial trader is exiting an existing Yes position, providing a useful bearish signal despite the lack of fresh exposure.

This bettor wins 79% of trades, with $112,614 in realized profit across 38 positions.
They are selling Yes at 18¢, equivalent to backing No at 82¢, reinforcing the market’s bearish direction.
Because this closes an existing Yes position bought around 19¢, it is weaker than a fresh new bet.

$1,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%