Part of: Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

39 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,235.

Categories: Iran, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Notable Trades

Proven cross-market bettor

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 78% record is building a cross-market thesis, buying $6k of No here as part of $28.6k across three related markets.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 117 resolved trades and is up about $32k lifetime.
  • They are positioning across 3 related markets with $28.6k total, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • This trade backs No at 85¢, aligning with the market’s current low odds for an airspace closure.

$1,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

88% serial cross-market winner

Proven profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is adding a No position as part of a broader cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $288,570 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.23M deployed across 56 markets and a strong track record.
  • This is part of a broader 5-market event position totaling nearly $20,000.

$1,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

88% serial cross-market winner

Proven profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is adding a No position as part of a broader cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $288,570 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.23M deployed across 56 markets and a strong track record.
  • This is part of a broader 5-market event position totaling nearly $20,000.

$1,280 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable sharp buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a geopolitically plausible airspace-closure market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $85K lifetime.
  • They have been flagged 48 times before, suggesting a repeated pattern rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 86¢ signals confidence Israel does not make a major airspace closure by the deadline.

$6,239 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

88% serial cross-market winner

Proven profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is adding a No position as part of a broader cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $288,570 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.23M deployed across 56 markets and a strong track record.
  • This is part of a broader 5-market event position totaling nearly $20,000.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable sharp buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a geopolitically plausible airspace-closure market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $85K lifetime.
  • They have been flagged 48 times before, suggesting a repeated pattern rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 86¢ signals confidence Israel does not make a major airspace closure by the deadline.

$2,537 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable sharp buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a geopolitically plausible airspace-closure market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $85K lifetime.
  • They have been flagged 48 times before, suggesting a repeated pattern rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 86¢ signals confidence Israel does not make a major airspace closure by the deadline.

$1,290 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

86% winner cross-market bettor

Sharp cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $477k profit is adding to a broader No thesis across related Israel airspace markets.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $477k lifetime.
  • They have $60.7k positioned across 4 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying No at 89¢ means they are backing a high-conviction view that no major airspace closure happens by July 31.

$2,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

86% winner cross-market bettor

Sharp cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $477k profit is adding to a broader No thesis across related Israel airspace markets.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $477k lifetime.
  • They have $60.7k positioned across 4 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying No at 89¢ means they are backing a high-conviction view that no major airspace closure happens by July 31.

$1,634 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable sharp buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a geopolitically plausible airspace-closure market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $85K lifetime.
  • They have been flagged 48 times before, suggesting a repeated pattern rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 86¢ signals confidence Israel does not make a major airspace closure by the deadline.

$3,480 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x57cc...882c Outcome 83949391, $103,103 (38% win rate)
  2. 0x7bc1...8db4 Outcome 83949391, $97,570 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x93fb...3e4a Outcome 83949391, $42,275 (42% win rate)
  4. 0xae7c...487e Outcome 83949391, $27,305 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x758c...074a Outcome 83949391, $25,960 (14% win rate)
  6. 0xe07a...6adb Outcome 83949391, $12,550
  7. 0xff91...a1ed Outcome 83949391, $11,328 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x6a83...4c59 Outcome 83949391, $11,117 (41% win rate)
  9. 0xf66c...58b9 Outcome 83949391, $10,033 (33% win rate)
  10. 0xddc4...967b Outcome 83949391, $10,000

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Iran deal by mid-June

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Iran keeps airspace open

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Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

ResolvedIsrael closes its airspace by...?$115,235 tracked39 signalsIranIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x IranRewards 50, 4.5, 20

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
101¢
90¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

30d ago

$1,540 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

34d ago

$1,340 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

34d ago

$1,280 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

34d ago

$6,239 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

34d ago

$2,000 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

36d ago

$2,537 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

36d ago

$1,290 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

41d ago

$2,800 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

41d ago

$1,634 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

42d ago

$3,480 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

42d ago

$3,153 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

43d ago

$1,308 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

44d ago

$2,539 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

45d ago

$4,035 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

46d ago

$1,079 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

46d ago

$13,907 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

53d ago

$4,995 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

53d ago

$4,300 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

53d ago

$3,000 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

55d ago

$1,181 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

55d ago

$5,795 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

55d ago

$1,495 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

55d ago

$2,000 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

56d ago

$3,000 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

56d ago

$2,580 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

56d ago

$1,767 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

57d ago

$2,000 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

57d ago

$1,970 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

58d ago

$1,371 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

58d ago

$3,000 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

58d ago

$2,014 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

59d ago

$3,314 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

59d ago

$1,146 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

60d ago

$1,529 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

60d ago

$7,456 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

60d ago

$1,560 on Yes at 12¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

61d ago

$1,240 on No at 88¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

61d ago

$2,361 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

64d ago

$6,000 on No at 85¢

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