Part of: Israel closes its airspace by...?
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,508.
Categories: Iran, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 319-market history is buying No as the market sharply moves away from Yes.
- This bettor has won 69% of 319 resolved trades and is up $21.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 44 related events, suggesting a repeat strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The market is already moving toward No, with Yes down 34 points in the past day.
$2,508 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x8a98...1b92 — Yes, $3,990 (52% win rate)
- 0xb4f2...e5fa — No, $3,009 (69% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — No, $1,635 (55% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $1,384
- 0xe738...df65 — Yes, $1,092 (65% win rate)
- 0xdc41...362b — No, $1,063 (100% win rate)
- 0xa667...84fe — No, $960 (39% win rate)
- 0x88c4...129a — No, $933 (90% win rate)
- 0xa65c...32fb — Yes, $744
- 0xd033...0522 — Yes, $727
