Part of: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,647.
Categories: Israel Election, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
Six-wallet cluster backs Yes
A six-wallet funded cluster is building a Yes position in a relatively thin ceasefire market, reinforced by serial cross-market activity across four related markets.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same thesis, with $1,647 committed to Yes.
- The trade is meaningful in this thin market: $1,647 represents about 14% of total volume and 19% of available liquidity.
- This wallet has traded across 32 events and 43 markets, with a 67% win rate and $54,276 lifetime profit.
$1,647 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 94743760, $82,512 (52% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 94743760, $40,097 (73% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 94743760, $29,477 (71% win rate)
- 0x0d05...6a81 — Outcome 94743760, $16,066 (14% win rate)
- 0x6139...6b7a — Outcome 94743760, $9,622 (72% win rate)
- 0xaacb...90cb — Outcome 94743760, $8,000 (70% win rate)
- 0xfb59...83f9 — Outcome 94743760, $5,015 (57% win rate)
- 0xbbe3...5b92 — Outcome 94743760, $3,922
- 0x5c69...51ca — Outcome 94743760, $3,006 (20% win rate)
- 0x0799...725c — Outcome 94743760, $2,367
Related Theses
Ceasefire lasts into October, not December
Covers 14 related markets
Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends
Covers 3 related markets
Ceasefire delayed beyond 2027
Covers 4 related markets
Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns
Covers 4 related markets
Iran blockade ends mid-August
Covers 7 related markets
Fed will hike rates 25 bps
Covers 2 related markets
WTI reaches $90, not $95
Covers 2 related markets
Iran deal by June
Covers 4 related markets
Iran airspace will remain open
Covers 3 related markets
Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton
Covers 2 related markets
