Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
57 signals across 8 markets · $338,859 tracked · resolves Aug 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether the Israel-Iran ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date, with traders pricing the chance of a “Yes” or “No” outcome. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,053 in smart money activity and one recent signal tied to a sharp geopolitical bettor.
Markets (8)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?37 signals · $249,113 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?8 signals · $38,379 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?5 signals · $20,342 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?3 signals · $14,969 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?1 signal · $7,031 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?1 signal · $5,659 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?1 signal · $1,719 tracked
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?1 signal · $1,647 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Six-wallet funded cluster backs No
A seven-wallet coordinated move toward No, including six linked wallets and highly profitable bettors, is corroborated by a 12-point daily decline in Yes odds.
$11,253Score: 10.3 - 93% winner adds to funded cluster
A highly profitable 93% win-rate trader added to an existing Yes position while operating within a 19-wallet funded cluster.
$1,147Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.6 - 93% winner adds to funded cluster
A highly profitable 93% win-rate trader added to an existing Yes position while operating within a 19-wallet funded cluster.
$4,125Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.6 - 93% winner trims Yes position
A highly successful serial trader with a 93% win rate sold part of a profitable Yes position, while 19 linked wallets provide corroborating bearish pressure, though the trade may mainly be profit-taking.
$1,140Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.6 - Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
$8,900Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 9.5 - Six-wallet cluster scaling into Yes
Six linked wallets and a serial cross-market trader are adding to a Yes position across five related markets, creating a meaningful coordinated ceasefire thesis despite only moderate historical edge.
$7,508Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 9.5 - Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
$3,480Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 9.3 - Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
$1,584Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 9.0 - Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
$4,492Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 9.0 - Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
$2,854Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 9.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe3cb28…ac21$134,453 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 65% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$74,545 · 3 markets · 24 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x85a858…9281$16,904 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$15,000 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xddf449…2680$13,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$12,145 · 3 markets · 6 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x8c66e2…44f3$10,969 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 84% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$8,542 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xbf961d…9942$7,031 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xa022ba…77f8$4,743 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
FAQs
What are the Israel-Iran ceasefire odds on Polymarket?
The event reflects market-implied odds on whether the ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues through July 25. Prices move as traders react to news, military developments, and new buying or selling activity.
What outcomes are being traded in this event?
This event currently centers on whether the Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through July 25. Traders can take positions on the market resolving “Yes” if the ceasefire remains in effect or “No” if a qualifying military action ends it before the deadline.
Is smart money betting on the Israel-Iran ceasefire market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,053 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal from a sharp geopolitical bettor. These signals can help users see when experienced traders are taking positions.
When does the Israel-Iran ceasefire market resolve?
The listed child market is based on whether the ceasefire remains in effect through July 25, according to the market’s resolution rules. The broader event page may remain available until final exchange settlement and reporting are complete.
How does PolySpotter help track this prediction market?
PolySpotter highlights smart money signals, large or notable trades, and market movement so users can compare Polymarket odds with the behavior of sharp bettors following the event.