James Comey arrested by April 29?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,571.

Categories: Trump, Politics, fbi, James Comey

Notable Trades

James Comey arrested by April 29?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,100 | Wallet win rate: 27%

James Comey arrested by April 29?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,926 | Wallet win rate: 70%

James Comey arrested by April 29?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,267 | Wallet win rate: 49%

James Comey arrested by April 29?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,278 | Wallet win rate: 36%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdaef...54e9 Yes, $16,980 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x7447...a16d Yes, $5,329 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x523a...8e28 No, $5,114 (36% win rate)
  4. 0x3e9e...9b4e No, $4,957 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xd1ac...08d5 No, $4,712 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x74bf...2a6e No, $4,592 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x0482...6b0a Yes, $3,350 (33% win rate)
  8. 0xbf93...2fd7 No, $3,328 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x585b...753f Yes, $2,917
  10. 0x75d1...7a5f Yes, $2,064

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

James Comey arrested by April 29?

15d$5,571 tracked4 signalsTrumpPoliticsfbiJames Comey
Yes
30¢
No
71¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
72¢
57¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

James Comey arrested by April 29?

1h ago

$1,100

James Comey arrested by April 29?

2h ago

$1,926

James Comey arrested by April 29?

3h ago

$1,267

James Comey arrested by April 29?

3h ago

$1,278

Related Theses

James Comey arrested by April 29? | PolySpotter