What does the Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance market predict?

It predicts whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be seen in an authentic photograph or video released between market creation and September 30, 2026.

When does the Mojtaba Khamenei prediction market resolve?

The market resolves on September 30, 2026, using Eastern Time for the listed deadline.

What qualifies as a Yes outcome?

A Yes outcome requires authentic photo or video recorded and released within the market’s timeframe. Archival footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, and staged reproductions do not qualify.

What happens if no qualifying footage is released?

The market resolves to No if no authentic, qualifying photograph or video of Mojtaba Khamenei is released by the deadline.

How much smart-money activity has this market received?

PolySpotter tracks $2,640 in smart-money activity for this market, including signals from linked wallet clusters.

Part of: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

This prediction market tracks whether Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, will be photographed or videotaped in an authentic new image or video by September 30, 2026. The market has $2,640 in tracked smart-money activity across one recorded signal, with resolution based on qualifying media released during the market timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,674.

Categories: Middle East, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

6-wallet funded No cluster

High-severity linked-wallet cluster and a repeat cross-market bettor are adding to a No position in a relatively quiet market, though the entry is a high-probability 90¢ favorite.

Six wallets funded by the same source are positioned this way, totaling about $7.7k on the cluster.
This bettor is adding to an existing No position, now buying at 90¢ after entering earlier around 86¢.
The trade was large for this market’s activity, equal to about 63% of the last 24 hours’ volume.

$2,640 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

6-wallet funded No cluster

High-severity linked-wallet cluster and a repeat cross-market bettor are adding to a No position in a relatively quiet market, though the entry is a high-probability 90¢ favorite.

Six wallets funded by the same source are positioned this way, totaling about $7.7k on the cluster.
This bettor is adding to an existing No position, now buying at 90¢ after entering earlier around 86¢.
The trade was large for this market’s activity, equal to about 63% of the last 24 hours’ volume.

$2,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Six-wallet linked cluster buys Yes

Six linked wallets have deployed $5,544 toward Yes in a thin market, backed by a serial trader with a 67% win rate.

Six linked wallets share a funder and are collectively positioning $5,544 toward Yes.
The trade is large relative to recent activity, exceeding 24-hour volume in this thinly traded market.
The lead wallet has won 67% of 130 resolved bets and is up $98,800 lifetime.

$5,544 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

6-wallet funded No cluster

High-severity linked-wallet cluster and a repeat cross-market bettor are adding to a No position in a relatively quiet market, though the entry is a high-probability 90¢ favorite.

Six wallets funded by the same source are positioned this way, totaling about $7.7k on the cluster.
This bettor is adding to an existing No position, now buying at 90¢ after entering earlier around 86¢.
The trade was large for this market’s activity, equal to about 63% of the last 24 hours’ volume.

$3,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%