Part of: Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,913.
Categories: Politics, putin, Geopolitics, Russia, Iran, Aragchi
Notable Trades
74% winner in geopolitics
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate and $220k profit is taking a fresh position in a fast-moving geopolitics market, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $221k across 325 settled markets
- They trade across 118 markets in 75 events, which suggests a repeatable event-driven process rather than a one-off punt
- The market jumped nearly 40 points in a day, and they still bought Yes at 89¢, showing conviction even after the move
$1,438 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial event trader
A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate bought Yes at 76¢ before the market jumped to 84%, suggesting timely directional edge.
- This bettor has won 240 of 325 resolved markets and is up about $221k lifetime
- They trade across many related events at scale — 74 events and $5.7M of total volume
- They bought Yes at 76¢ and the market quickly moved to 84¢, showing strong timing
$1,475 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x1187...f12f — Outcome 10738601, $10,000
- 0xa0a0...f289 — Outcome 10738601, $5,000
- 0x9444...bccd — Outcome 10738601, $4,370
- 0x2435...3bf3 — Outcome 10738601, $2,683
- 0xbb5b...765e — Outcome 10738601, $2,243
- 0xed88...0dfd — Outcome 10738601, $2,086
- 0x139f...b560 — Outcome 10738601, $1,500
- 0xf95b...1875 — Outcome 10738601, $1,480
- 0x2622...1435 — Outcome 10738601, $1,475
- 0x4d5a...b20d — Outcome 10738601, $1,000
Related Theses
Talks happen by June
Covers 10 related markets
Iran closes airspace late June
Covers 7 related markets
Iran deal lands late May
Covers 7 related markets
Iran peace timing mispriced
Covers 11 related markets
Fujimori and Sánchez lose
Covers 2 related markets
