Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,913.

Categories: Politics, putin, Geopolitics, Russia, Iran, Aragchi

Notable Trades

74% winner in geopolitics

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate and $220k profit is taking a fresh position in a fast-moving geopolitics market, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $221k across 325 settled markets
They trade across 118 markets in 75 events, which suggests a repeatable event-driven process rather than a one-off punt
The market jumped nearly 40 points in a day, and they still bought Yes at 89¢, showing conviction even after the move

$1,438 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial event trader

A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate bought Yes at 76¢ before the market jumped to 84%, suggesting timely directional edge.

This bettor has won 240 of 325 resolved markets and is up about $221k lifetime
They trade across many related events at scale — 74 events and $5.7M of total volume
They bought Yes at 76¢ and the market quickly moved to 84¢, showing strong timing

$1,475 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%