Part of: Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,728.

Categories: Politics, putin, zelensky, Geopolitics, Russia, Ukraine

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market veteran

A profitable, highly active cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Yes position in a geopolitics market despite recent price weakness.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 644 resolved trades and is up $214K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.38M deployed across 152 events.
  • Selling No at 80¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 20¢, a contrarian bet versus the current 12% market odds.

$1,728 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa65c...32fb Yes, $3,852
  2. 0x4d78...4cc1 No, $3,746
  3. 0xd426...334a No, $2,795 (39% win rate)
  4. 0xa28e...b220 Yes, $2,500
  5. 0xb03f...c592 No, $2,305
  6. 0xd44e...67e2 No, $2,262 (61% win rate)
  7. 0x9ca1...13b5 No, $2,046 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xf18f...294c Yes, $1,250
  9. 0x9f08...73a8 Yes, $1,200 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xf476...8cef No, $1,000 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

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Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

223dRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?$1,728 tracked1 signalPoliticsputinzelenskyGeopoliticsRussiaUkraine
Yes
18¢
No
83¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
89¢
79¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

4h ago

$1,728 on Yes at 20¢

20¢18¢2¢

Related Theses