Part of: Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,696.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes amid a major volume spike and rapid price move on a politically plausible information market.

This bettor has traded 910 resolved markets and is up about $901k lifetime.
They are active across 3 related markets with $14.6k positioned on the same event.
Volume spiked 54x and Yes jumped 12 points in 4 minutes around this trade.

$2,887 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

Coordinated political Yes flow

Coordinated Yes buying by 4 wallets, including a very profitable high-volume trader, hit a political market during a 78x volume spike and moved price sharply upward.

Four wallets bought $8.5K of Yes in minutes, pushing the market up 12 points.
One participating wallet is up about $901K lifetime across $22.8M of trades.
Volume spiked 78x above normal, suggesting a sudden coordinated thesis on this political outcome.

$8,460 on Yes

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying Yes while positioning across multiple related Starmer markets, though the stake is modest.

This active bettor is up $90k across 941 resolved bets.
They have traded 31 related events and are positioning across 3 markets here.
Entry at 45¢ implies they see Starmer’s exit odds above the current market price.

$1,350 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%