US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether official representatives of the United States and Iran will hold a direct diplomatic meeting by April 11, 2026. It resolves to Yes only if an authorized, official meeting on US-Iran relations takes place before the deadline; indirect contacts or informal interactions do not count. Traders are watching this market for shifts in US-Iran diplomacy and how Polymarket odds move as geopolitical developments unfold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,846.
Categories: Iran, Kushner, Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, Khamenei, Witkoff, Iran Ceasefire
Notable Trades
Linked sharp wallet cluster
A 6-wallet linked cluster is buying the same side, and this wallet also has an unusually strong 86% hit rate across 22 resolved markets.
- This wallet wins 86% of its bets and is up $2.3k on 22 resolved markets
- Six wallets funded by the same source are tied to this activity, showing coordinated conviction
- They bought Yes at 85¢ in a market trading 83–86¢, backing a high-probability outcome
$2,846 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x26b9...5626 — Yes, $13,061 (70% win rate)
- 0x96ef...5523 — No, $10,983 (66% win rate)
- 0xa313...eb44 — No, $7,186 (89% win rate)
- 0x90e3...0c77 — Yes, $3,395 (86% win rate)
- 0x993c...6787 — No, $2,531
- 0xfb6a...7caf — Yes, $2,398
- 0xfd8f...6f11 — Yes, $2,318
- 0x053d...caed — Yes, $2,028 (83% win rate)
- 0xbd08...4a59 — Yes, $1,871
- 0x50e4...fb34 — Yes, $1,768
