Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,402.
Categories: Iran, Kushner, Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, Khamenei, Witkoff, Iran Ceasefire
Notable Trades
Thin-market contrarian sharp
A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate made a market-dominating $1.4k buy on No in an extremely thin US-Iran meeting market, taking a sharply contrarian view versus current pricing.
- This bettor wins 72% of their resolved trades and is profitable overall.
- Their $1.4k order was 25x the market's 24-hour volume in a market with just $126 of liquidity.
- They bought No at 74¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes's opposite side before the market moved to imply only 13% No.
$1,402 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x2570...f79c — Outcome 80713378, $14,688
- 0xa757...f01f — Outcome 80713378, $9,293
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 80713378, $6,144 (84% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 80713378, $5,508
- 0x2e5d...2bd6 — Outcome 80713378, $5,500
- 0x682e...70bd — Outcome 80713378, $5,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x2d61...1fa7 — Outcome 80713378, $3,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x2c99...9c3a — Outcome 80713378, $2,949
- 0xf90f...70c2 — Outcome 80713378, $2,330
- 0x42f9...c7cd — Outcome 80713378, $1,874
