Part of: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,122.
Categories: Trump, Hormuz, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, Oil, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a relatively thin shipping market, with a large sample track record and meaningful prior profits.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $221k lifetime across 1,041 bets.
- They have traded 74 markets across 49 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The $1.1k No buy is meaningful in a market with only $6.5k traded today.
$1,122 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x9ca1...13b5 — Outcome 36590939, $3,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x4e39...8cbf — Outcome 36590939, $2,380
- 0xb17d...59ae — Outcome 36590939, $1,521 (82% win rate)
- 0x9df3...ddfc — Outcome 36590939, $1,059
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 36590939, $999 (62% win rate)
- 0x48c7...e4b0 — Outcome 36590939, $909 (50% win rate)
- 0xf5ae...c1a9 — Outcome 36590939, $816
- 0x2b98...9cb0 — Outcome 36590939, $551
- 0x828e...c21b — Outcome 36590939, $525
- 0x8be4...83db — Outcome 36590939, $397
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