Part of: Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?

Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,177.

Notable Trades

Serial event trader chasing momentum

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a decent proven track record pushed this market sharply higher with nearly $8k of aggressive buying into a fast-moving news-style contract.

This wallet has bet across 53 related markets and is up $43k on nearly $7.0M invested.
They bought almost $8k of Yes in 13 minutes and helped drive a 14-point price jump.
The market is news-driven and active, so concentrated buying here is more worth tracking than a routine whale trade.

$7,967 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Proven bettor hits thin mover

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample put $3.2k into a thin, fast-moving WHCA market, making up a meaningful share of daily volume despite only a moderate historical edge.

This bettor has 861 resolved trades and is up $284.9k overall
They put $3.2k into a market with only $13.7k of 24h volume, helping drive a sharp move higher
All three buys were at 65-68¢, suggesting conviction even after the market had already started moving

$3,209 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0x387e...56a5 — Outcome 28777282, $1,688
0x7758...7125 — Outcome 28777282, $82
0xed5e...1536 — Outcome 28777282, $55
0xa79f...e030 — Outcome 28777282, $34
0x49c5...b169 — Outcome 28777282, $32
0xbe0e...d429 — Outcome 28777282, $20
0x814d...7e79 — Outcome 28777282, $9
0x50b9...4298 — Outcome 28777282, $5
0xa39f...fbdb — Outcome 28777282, $5
0x6aa9...831f — Outcome 28777282, $4

Related Theses

Iran agreement lands May 27

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Hormuz lift deadline arbitrage

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Iran meeting odds mispriced

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Iran airspace closure unlikely

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

No lasting Iran peace

Covers 9 related markets

Iran uranium deal unlikely

Covers 4 related markets

Iran ceasefire collapses after May

Covers 6 related markets

Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?

ResolvedWill anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?$11,177 tracked2 signalsTrumpPolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is ejected or removed against their will from the location of the 2026 White House Correspondents' Association Dinner, currently scheduled for April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Removal or ejection consists of a person being ordered to leave, or physically removed from the location of the 2026 White House Correspondents' Association Dinner. If no WHCA Dinner takes place by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.