Cross-Market Thesis

Iran meeting odds mispriced

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $24,367 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xa022b71% win rate

Total

$24,367

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
    $14,249 @ 65¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
    $2,428 @ 47¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $2,009 @ 84¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
    $3,655 @ 54¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
    $2,026 @ 14¢
Iran meeting odds mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter