Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,098.

Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

76% winner buying longshot

Proven profitable wallet with a 76% record is taking a fresh 6¢ longshot position and has nearly $10k positioned across this Eurovision event.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $39k lifetime.
  • They have $9.8k positioned across 2 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Entry at 6¢ is a low-cost longshot with roughly 16x payout if Australia wins.

$2,098 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,054,682
  2. 0xc4d1...8ce8 Yes, $372,746 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x6db9...4ab5 Yes, $82,854 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x7b17...51b1 Yes, $54,037
  5. 0xad26...7310 Yes, $51,309
  6. 0x27c1...f4ac Yes, $50,000
  7. 0x44fd...b634 Yes, $43,434 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x44a1...bd21 Yes, $43,000 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x5aa1...d9b7 Yes, $30,195 (20% win rate)
  10. 0xdeac...0216 Yes, $25,715

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

15d$2,098 tracked1 signalMusicAwardsCulturerewards 100, 4.5, 100
Yes
6¢
No
94¢

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
96¢
93¢
91¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

2h ago

$2,098 on Yes at 6¢

6¢6¢

Related Theses