Cross-Market Thesis

“Iranian blockade will persist past August 15”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $9,385 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x62cf466% win rate

Total

$9,385

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
    $1,460 @ 73¢
  2. 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
    $1,831 @ 61¢
  3. 3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
    $1,886 @ 30¢
  4. 4US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?
    $2,434 @ 83¢
  5. 5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
    $1,773 @ 62¢
Iranian blockade will persist past August 15 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter