Part of: Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,817.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, California Governor
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A large Yes buy from a highly profitable serial cross-market trader is notable in a thin California governor primary market with strong recent Yes momentum.
- This bettor is up $835k lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.8M wagered across 144 related markets.
- Their $2.7k Yes buy is large versus just $183 of 24h volume, and Yes is up 28% this week.
$2,717 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial politics trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 884 resolved bets and $806k lifetime profit is buying No on a California governor primary market.
- This bettor has won 69% of 884 resolved bets and is up about $806k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 103 events and over $1.17M flagged in related positioning.
- Buying No at 70¢ suggests a high-conviction view despite Yes gaining 10.5 points this week.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 63794237, $32,450 (72% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 63794237, $21,830
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 82181627, $4,173 (46% win rate)
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 82181627, $3,583 (19% win rate)
- 0x5338...86af — Outcome 82181627, $1,675
- 0x47ab...95df — Outcome 82181627, $1,492 (74% win rate)
- 0xd24b...ef76 — Outcome 82181627, $1,420 (69% win rate)
- 0x3c59...1766 — Outcome 82181627, $1,120 (72% win rate)
- 0xea41...1c98 — Outcome 82181627, $1,009
- 0xcdbf...1926 — Outcome 82181627, $719
Related Theses
Kiros wins Democratic nomination
Covers 2 related markets
Peru elects right-wing president
Covers 3 related markets
USA Colombia advance, Brazil out
Covers 8 related markets
Iran talks happen in June
Covers 8 related markets
England advances after high-scoring draw
Covers 6 related markets
Spain edges Argentina in extra time
Covers 7 related markets
Chong Won-oh wins Seoul mayor
Covers 2 related markets
US-Iran deal by late May
Covers 6 related markets
