Part of: Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,817.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, California Governor

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A large Yes buy from a highly profitable serial cross-market trader is notable in a thin California governor primary market with strong recent Yes momentum.

  • This bettor is up $835k lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.8M wagered across 144 related markets.
  • Their $2.7k Yes buy is large versus just $183 of 24h volume, and Yes is up 28% this week.

$2,717 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial politics trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 884 resolved bets and $806k lifetime profit is buying No on a California governor primary market.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 884 resolved bets and is up about $806k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 103 events and over $1.17M flagged in related positioning.
  • Buying No at 70¢ suggests a high-conviction view despite Yes gaining 10.5 points this week.

$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xecaa...77a9 Outcome 63794237, $32,450 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 63794237, $21,830
  3. 0xd426...334a Outcome 82181627, $4,173 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xa5e3...4d7e Outcome 82181627, $3,583 (19% win rate)
  5. 0x5338...86af Outcome 82181627, $1,675
  6. 0x47ab...95df Outcome 82181627, $1,492 (74% win rate)
  7. 0xd24b...ef76 Outcome 82181627, $1,420 (69% win rate)
  8. 0x3c59...1766 Outcome 82181627, $1,120 (72% win rate)
  9. 0xea41...1c98 Outcome 82181627, $1,009
  10. 0xcdbf...1926 Outcome 82181627, $719

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Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

ResolvedParties advancing from the California Governor primary?$3,817 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesCalifornia Governor

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Notable Trades

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

44d ago

$2,717 on Yes at 45¢

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

46d ago

$1,100 on No at 70¢

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