Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,946.
Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump
Notable Trades
98% winner buying No
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 98% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite only a moderate cross-market signal.
- This bettor has won 47 of 48 resolved trades and is up $44,057 lifetime.
- They have $7,096 positioned across two related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Bought No at 85¢ while the market now sits near 82¢, giving a slightly better entry than the trader got.
$2,476 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable new wallet backs NO
A young repeat-flagged wallet with a 7-for-7 resolved record and early profit is adding a $1.6k No position on a plausible news-driven AI policy market.
- This 9-day-old wallet is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and up $478 so far.
- It has now been flagged 3 times, with $4.2k total in notable bets across 7 positions.
- The bet backs No at 82¢, suggesting confidence that access will not be restored by the deadline.
$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven winner in thin market
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 78% win record across 346 resolved markets and is adding size in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25.8K lifetime.
- They bought $1.9K of Yes in a small market, equal to 78% of recent daily volume.
- Entry at 62¢ has already moved to about 66¢, suggesting early confirmation of the bet.
$1,870 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 50722702, $34,833 (69% win rate)
- 0x3b44...264e — Outcome 50722702, $6,725 (71% win rate)
- 0x626e...fa46 — Outcome 50722702, $6,234
- 0x581c...d47d — Outcome 50722702, $4,700
- 0x80c0...ed95 — Outcome 50722702, $2,788
- 0x5999...ae94 — Outcome 50722702, $2,506 (78% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 50722702, $2,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xbb8e...b243 — Outcome 50722702, $1,807 (69% win rate)
- 0xed4d...1a9d — Outcome 50722702, $1,778
- 0x12c4...7e2d — Outcome 64869377, $1,514
Related Theses
No Iran deal by June
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Iran deal in June
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Spain, France or Argentina wins
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Anthropic overtakes Google AI
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Claude debuts in low 1530s
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Sabrina attends, Max skips
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Hormuz transit remains severely disrupted
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Claude Fable 5 stays unavailable
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