Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran talks won’t happen by September

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $23,075 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
    $3,789 @ 89¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
    $2,193 @ 88¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
    $4,200 @ 83¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
    $2,193 @ 81¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
    $10,700 @ 90¢
US-Iran talks won’t happen by September — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter