Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
33 signals across 2 markets · $303,347 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner fading favorite
A highly profitable political trader from a 12-wallet funded cluster sold the favorite at 85¢, which translates into a buyable No position at 15¢.
$1,689Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 16.0 - 4-wallet election cluster
Four high-win-rate wallets piled nearly $60k into No on a major Hungary election market, creating a strong coordinated political bet worth watching.
$59,973Score: 15.0 - 6-wallet funded cluster
A new but already profitable wallet from a 6-wallet linked cluster bought TISZA at 75¢, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a routine single trade.
$1,679Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 13.1 - 3-wallet contrarian cluster
Three wallets piled into the same anti-TISZA position for nearly $9.6k while the market is surging toward 84%, a notable coordinated contrarian bet despite mixed wallet quality.
$9,570Score: 10.6 - 3-wallet TISZA pile-in
Three wallets piled $12.3k into TISZA Yes at 70¢, including one proven profitable bettor and two very new wallets, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.
$12,293Score: 9.1 - New whale pressing Yes
A very new wallet has repeatedly deployed large size and just bought $25k of TISZA into a major volume spike, signaling fresh conviction rather than routine activity.
$25,238Score: 8.3 - New whale piling into Yes
A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed size and just bought $11k of TISZA at 80¢ into a strong volume and price upswing, making it a notable conviction bet despite no track record yet.
$11,000Score: 8.2 - 3-wallet contrarian cluster
Three wallets piled into Fidesz Yes for $12.5k as the market sold off to 16¢, including a very new wallet and one larger trader expressing the same view via selling No.
$12,522Score: 7.6 - New whale buying political longshot
A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this political market theme, with an $8.3k buy during a 20x volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine activity.
$8,312Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial political trader
A profitable serial political cross-market trader with 133 resolved bets bought No at 75¢ in this Hungarian election market, making this a credible follow despite only one trade.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 7.0
Top wallets in this event
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- 0xf45616…911d$20,585 · 1 market · 1 alert
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- 0x380002…2325$15,440 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 98% wins
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- 0x50633e…773d$10,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xdd0891…5ee9$9,693 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 97% wins
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