Part of: Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,553.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Democratic Primary, Wisconsin Primary, US Election, August 11 Primaries

Notable Trades

Five-wallet bullish cluster

Five wallets deployed $21,191 of coordinated bullish exposure, including a large existing Yes holder, amid a 71.8x volume spike, though much of the flow appears to be No profit-taking rather than fresh conviction.

  • Five wallets shifted $21,191 toward Francesca Hong Yes exposure during a 71.8x volume spike.
  • One wallet added $3,139 to Yes at 30¢ while already holding a $31,416 Yes position.
  • The cluster includes several profitable high-volume traders, but the 58% best win rate is only moderate and much of the activity was No selling.

$11,643 on Yes

Profitable wallets scale into No

Six wallets deployed $27,237 against Francesca Hong, alongside a major volume spike and sharp Yes-price decline, with several profitable traders adding No positions.

  • Six wallets committed $27,237 to No while the market saw a 533x volume surge.
  • A highly profitable bettor with a 72% win rate and $1.15M lifetime profit added substantially to No.
  • Yes fell roughly 40% while No buying pushed the market sharply, signaling strong coordinated bearish conviction.

$19,910 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x2061...8ec9 Outcome 68647929, $180,804 (23% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 77885186, $117,913
  3. 0x000d...758e Outcome 68647929, $99,305 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x6480...8dc5 Outcome 68647929, $71,366 (19% win rate)
  5. 0x6139...6b7a Outcome 68647929, $28,581 (71% win rate)
  6. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 68647929, $11,515
  7. 0xedc8...d7ce Outcome 68647929, $9,525
  8. 0x6978...08d8 Outcome 68647929, $6,508 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x4d1b...1419 Outcome 68647929, $5,120 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x0dd6...5f62 Outcome 68647929, $4,742 (72% win rate)

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

ResolvedWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner$31,553 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryWisconsin PrimaryUS ElectionAugust 11 Primaries

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

11d ago

$11,643 on Yes at 30¢

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

11d ago

$19,910 on No at 60¢