Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
7 signals across 3 markets · $50,889 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, including whether Sara Rodriguez wins the nomination. PolySpotter currently shows $1,278 in tracked smart money and one recent signal, with an 82% winner fading “Yes” on Rodriguez.
Markets (3)
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?2 signals · $31,553 tracked
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?4 signals · $18,058 tracked
- Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?1 signal · $1,278 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable wallets scale into No
Six wallets deployed $27,237 against Francesca Hong, alongside a major volume spike and sharp Yes-price decline, with several profitable traders adding No positions.
$19,910Score: 8.6 - Five-wallet bullish cluster
Five wallets deployed $21,191 of coordinated bullish exposure, including a large existing Yes holder, amid a 71.8x volume spike, though much of the flow appears to be No profit-taking rather than fresh conviction.
$11,643Score: 7.4 - Multi-wallet No cluster after Yes surge
Three wallets committed $9,100 to No amid a major Yes price surge, with one participant showing an 86% historical win rate and serial cross-market activity.
$9,100Score: 6.3 - 82% winner fading Yes
A highly profitable 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market trader is fading Sara Rodriguez in the Wisconsin Democratic primary market.
$1,278Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Coordinated Yes buying amid sharp surge
Three wallets concentrated roughly $4.2k of Yes exposure amid a 19x volume spike and 50% one-day price surge, though their weak track records and existing positions temper conviction.
$4,228Score: 4.9 - Serial trader makes concentrated No bet
A serial cross-market trader with 1,131 resolved bets placed a concentrated $3,018 No position in a thin political market, and No has since risen from 50% to 60%.
$3,018Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.4 - Serial trader makes concentrated No bet
A serial cross-market trader with 1,131 resolved bets placed a concentrated $3,018 No position in a thin political market, and No has since risen from 50% to 60%.
$1,712Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xeb6f0a…25f0$4,730 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$1,278 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic governor primary?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the Democratic primary outcome, including the market on whether Sara Rodriguez wins. Odds can move as candidates announce, polling changes, or smart money enters the market.
What is the smart money doing in this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,278 in smart money across this event. The latest alert shows an 82% winner fading “Yes,” suggesting that tracked trader is taking a position against Sara Rodriguez winning the primary.
When does the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on the winner of the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, using the first official announcement from the Wisconsin Democratic Party as the resolution source.
What happens if there is no 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary?
According to the market rules, if no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, the market resolves to “Other.”