Part of: Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
This prediction market asks whether Fujimori will win the second round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by a razor-thin 0.1% to 0.2% margin of valid votes. The runoff is scheduled for June 7, 2026, and the market resolves based on the official margin between the top two candidates. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,853 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,853.
Categories: Elections, Peru Election, Global Elections, Peru, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 899 resolved bets is buying No on a niche Peru election margin market.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up about $907K lifetime.
- They have traded across 108 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The bet is against a very narrow 0.1–0.2% victory margin, bought at 80¢ in a relatively small market.
$1,853 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 57181047, $150,686
- 0x58ef...95fa — Outcome 47328712, $27,722
- 0x6af6...eec2 — Outcome 47328712, $10,574
- 0xbbe9...b447 — Outcome 47328712, $6,553
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 47328712, $6,385 (84% win rate)
- 0x4449...a1f9 — Outcome 47328712, $4,370
- 0x4905...3291 — Outcome 47328712, $4,143
- 0x2be3...6cad — Outcome 47328712, $3,450
- 0xa74f...10ba — Outcome 47328712, $3,004
- 0x298d...2ff0 — Outcome 47328712, $2,346
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