Part of: Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,103.

Categories: Witkoff, Vance, U.S. x Iran, Kushner, Trump, Iran Ceasefire, Politics, Diplomatic meeting, Iran, Geopolitics, rubio

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on a thin diplomacy market with a strong long-run track record and meaningful sizing versus recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 174 resolved trades and is up $258k lifetime.
  • They have traded 64 markets across 50 events, suggesting a repeatable macro/politics strategy.
  • The $1.1k No buy was large for this quiet market, coming in at about 6.8x recent 24h volume.

$1,103 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2132...7657 Yes, $1,734
  2. 0xc96e...f1f9 No, $1,447 (74% win rate)
  3. 0xd6dd...98ee Yes, $1,139
  4. 0x645a...fd84 No, $1,097 (63% win rate)
  5. 0xd8c1...16c0 No, $329 (68% win rate)
  6. 0xcb11...0d5e No, $272
  7. 0xea41...1c98 Yes, $225
  8. 0xd2ae...f36b Yes, $176
  9. 0x6be4...dcbb Yes, $102
  10. 0x1cdd...e595 Yes, $76

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Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

19dWho will meet with Iran by June 30?$1,103 tracked1 signalWitkoffVanceU.S. x IranKushnerTrumpIran CeasefirePoliticsDiplomatic meetingIranGeopoliticsrubio
Yes
22¢
No
79¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No
84¢
73¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

1h ago

$1,103 on No at 79¢

79¢79¢

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