Part of: HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,447.

Categories: Elections, Hawaii, Politics, Primaries, deprec USA Election, House Primary, primary elections, Hawaii Primary, August 8 Primaries, court cases, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader bought Yes at 60¢ before a 17.5-point weekly price rise, making this a credible but moderate-conviction signal.

This bettor has won 72% of 1,157 resolved trades and earned over $1.09 million.
The $1,447 Yes purchase at 60¢ came before the market rose 17.5 percentage points over the past day and week.
The trader has positioned across 420 markets, providing substantial evidence beyond a one-off bet.

$1,447 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 35090708, $10,289
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 61814755, $8,459 (72% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 61814755, $2,646 (83% win rate)
0xff0b...befa — Outcome 61814755, $1,187
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 61814755, $1,090
0xfe9e...6944 — Outcome 61814755, $1,002
0x1cb6...93f6 — Outcome 61814755, $921
0xc01f...cd8e — Outcome 61814755, $553 (56% win rate)
0xe40a...e4a2 — Outcome 61814755, $553
0x1ab0...f8c9 — Outcome 61814755, $323

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USA Colombia advance, Brazil out

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England advances after high-scoring draw

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Spain narrowly advances after extra time

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Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?

ResolvedHI-01 Democratic Primary Winner$1,447 tracked1 signalElectionsHawaiiPoliticsPrimariesdeprec USA ElectionHouse Primaryprimary electionsHawaii PrimaryAugust 8 Primariescourt casesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.