Part of: Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,550.

Categories: Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, Politics, Peru, Global Elections, Elections, Peru Election

Notable Trades

New wallet political whale

A brand-new wallet put $19k into a single political market in one shot, a size that matched the market's full 24h volume and signals strong fresh conviction despite limited wallet history.

A 3-hour-old wallet put $19k on one side of a political market in a single trade
That buy was about 104% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing outsized conviction for this market
The market has already rallied 32 points over the past week, so this trader is leaning into a strong ongoing trend

$19,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

80% win-rate election bettor

A bettor with an 80% win rate and 188 resolved trades is building a cross-market Peru election view with a meaningful $1.55k buy near 55¢ in a moderately thin market.

This bettor wins 80% of their trades across 188 resolved markets and is up $34k lifetime
They are betting across 2 Peru election markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt
Bought at 55¢ in a market with only about $7.8k of 24-hour volume, which is sizable enough to matter

$1,550 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 60520340, $87,861
0xf2f6...5817 — Outcome 60520340, $23,518 (75% win rate)
0x784f...5df9 — Outcome 60520340, $16,500 (86% win rate)
0x6ed9...fc35 — Outcome 60520340, $12,285
0x7664...2e50 — Outcome 60520340, $6,000 (73% win rate)
0xdc03...804c — Outcome 60520340, $5,333 (79% win rate)
0x5e38...a1db — Outcome 60520340, $4,390
0x781c...db68 — Outcome 60520340, $4,377
0x9b2c...2151 — Outcome 60520340, $4,340
0xc4fd...fe19 — Outcome 60520340, $3,431 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Ivan Cepeda wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

ResolvedPeru Presidential Election First Round Winner$20,550 tracked2 signalsRewards 50, 4.5, 100PoliticsPeruGlobal ElectionsElectionsPeru Election

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)