Part of: Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $30,028.

Categories: World Elections, Elections, Global Elections, putin, Russia, World, Politics

Notable Trades

Linked wallets flip to Yes

Three wallets, including two linked by a shared funder, sold $30k of No into a major volume spike, effectively taking the Yes side at 28¢ on a political market.

  • Three wallets moved $30k the same way, with two linked by the same funder.
  • They are effectively buying Yes at 28¢, betting New People will gain the most seats.
  • Volume is 232x above normal, suggesting a sudden surge of attention on this outcome.

$30,028 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $234,580
  2. 0x5d0f...f0ad Yes, $20,328 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xf285...1b96 Yes, $13,025
  4. 0x525e...c78d Yes, $9,064
  5. 0x21c5...7228 Yes, $7,347
  6. 0x6b1e...263a Yes, $7,115
  7. 0x718c...b4c2 Yes, $7,008
  8. 0x7c8e...dd59 No, $6,791 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x8a37...7f66 Yes, $6,295
  10. 0xb559...5e7c Yes, $6,113

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

137dWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?$30,028 tracked1 signalWorld ElectionsElectionsGlobal ElectionsputinRussiaWorldPolitics
Yes
28¢
No
72¢

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Price History — “No
75¢
72¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

3h ago

$30,028 on Yes at 28¢

28¢28¢