Part of: Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $30,028.
Categories: World Elections, Elections, Global Elections, putin, Russia, World, Politics
Notable Trades
Linked wallets flip to Yes
Three wallets, including two linked by a shared funder, sold $30k of No into a major volume spike, effectively taking the Yes side at 28¢ on a political market.
- Three wallets moved $30k the same way, with two linked by the same funder.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 28¢, betting New People will gain the most seats.
- Volume is 232x above normal, suggesting a sudden surge of attention on this outcome.
$30,028 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $234,580
- 0x5d0f...f0ad — Yes, $20,328 (100% win rate)
- 0xf285...1b96 — Yes, $13,025
- 0x525e...c78d — Yes, $9,064
- 0x21c5...7228 — Yes, $7,347
- 0x6b1e...263a — Yes, $7,115
- 0x718c...b4c2 — Yes, $7,008
- 0x7c8e...dd59 — No, $6,791 (63% win rate)
- 0x8a37...7f66 — Yes, $6,295
- 0xb559...5e7c — Yes, $6,113
