Part of: Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,783.
Categories: neymar, Soccer, Celebrities, Sports, World, FIFA World Cup, Culture, Brazil, Player Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading favorite
A proven profitable wallet with an 84% resolved-bet record is fading the 88% favorite by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 13¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $8.3K lifetime.
- They are fading a heavily favored outcome, selling Yes at 87¢ despite the market pricing it near 88%.
- Buying No at 13¢ implies a high-upside contrarian position if Neymar misses the tournament.
$2,214 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought $2.7k of Yes at 90¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the high entry price.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $477k lifetime.
- They have traded across 114 events with a 77% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying at 90¢ leaves limited upside, but the wallet is backing Neymar to appear with high confidence.
$2,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
84% winner backing favorite
Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with an 84% resolved-bet win rate bought $2.3k of Yes despite the market already pricing Neymar to play at 90%.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $8,005 lifetime.
- They put $2.3k on Yes at 90¢, adding conviction to an already high-probability outcome.
- Their historical results beat market odds by 16 percentage points across 55 resolved bets.
$2,294 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Proven sharp buying the dip
Sharp wallet with a long 77% winning record and $450k lifetime profit bought Yes on Neymar playing despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $450k lifetime.
- They have traded across 100 events with a strong long-term record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Entry at 83¢ comes after the Yes price fell 10.5% this week, suggesting they see the dip as mispriced.
$2,158 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable new repeat bettor
A 7-day-old wallet with repeated notable bets, early profits, and a 6-for-6 resolved record bought Yes despite recent market weakness.
- This new wallet is already up $2,240 and has won all 6 resolved bets so far.
- It has now been flagged 4 times, with about $20,242 in notable positions in its first 8 days.
- The bettor bought Yes at 82¢ after the market fell 11% over the past week.
$1,330 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
77% winner fading favorite
A highly profitable 77% lifetime winner is fading Neymar playing, aligning with sharp track record and recent market weakness.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $444k lifetime.
- They are selling the 75¢ favorite after Neymar odds dropped 13.5 points in the last day.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with $223k deployed across 97 events.
$3,758 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
$2.9M sharp fading Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.86M lifetime profit is fading Neymar playing by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 15¢.
- This bettor has won 75% of 2,095 resolved bets and is up $2.86M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events with nearly $1M flagged in related activity.
- Selling Yes at 85¢ is equivalent to buying No at 15¢, against a market that has already drifted 5 points lower this week.
$1,149 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Proven sharp fading favorite
Proven profitable bettor with a 77% record and $420k lifetime profit is taking the contrarian No side against an 88% favorite.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $420,588 lifetime.
- They are fading the 88% Yes price, effectively buying No around 13¢.
- This wallet has traded across 82 events with $188,589 in cross-market activity.
$4,184 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor buying Yes
A proven profitable wallet with an 80% record and strong edge is buying Yes despite the market already pricing Neymar at 84%.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $14.7k lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 58¢, but they are still willing to buy this at 84¢.
- The market is liquid, so the signal is mainly the wallet’s proven track record rather than trade size.
$1,260 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Brand-new whale buying Yes
A 3-hour-old repeat-flagged wallet put $6.5k on Neymar playing, alongside a 12.5x volume spike and strong recent Yes momentum.
- A wallet created just 3 hours ago put $6.5k on Yes and has now been flagged for $11.5k in large bets.
- Yes has jumped 30 points this week, with a 12.5x volume spike suggesting fresh momentum behind the move.
- The bettor paid about 90¢, while the market is now around 85¢, offering a cheaper entry than their average buy.
$6,545 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x1d20...6e1d — Outcome 10709854, $67,250
- 0x8a91...6d50 — Outcome 10709854, $53,386
- 0xa487...474b — Outcome 10709854, $16,778
- 0x478f...f5d9 — Outcome 10709854, $10,740 (67% win rate)
- 0x54ce...9f80 — Outcome 10709854, $8,802 (91% win rate)
- 0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 10709854, $8,643 (62% win rate)
- 0x93d4...7345 — Outcome 10709854, $5,618
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 10709854, $5,347 (73% win rate)
- 0x70b3...2cfd — Outcome 10709854, $4,882
- 0x0c01...797d — Outcome 10709854, $3,861
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